Fantasy Football Free Agent Cheat Sheet: Week 15

by Greg Schoen on December 13, 2011

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Donald Driver / Credit: Icon SMI

In my opinion, Free Agent Analysis is often done in reverse order. Sites tell you everyone and anyone you should consider picking up, but not who to drop. Then a day or two later, they update their “projections going forward list.” At AceInTheHoleFantasyFootball.com, I update my TOP 250 list before I recommend pick-ups. That way, you can check my Rankings when trying to decide who to drop to see if that player is in fact ranked lower than your pick-up.

My personal thoughts on Free Agent Analysis:

  • Every action requires an equal and opposite reaction. In other words, if you want to pick-up a player, you need to drop a player. If your team is already stacked, don’t go overboard with the Transactions. You don’t want to drop a player who will strengthen your competition. However…
  • In Fantasy Football, much like poker, if you play too conservatively you will never Win. You have got to take some chances and can’t be afraid to pull the trigger when managing your team. Don’t be afraid to go for upside in place of the steady, but low-scoring players.
  • In general, go for the long-term pick-up over a one or two week plugin.

My Blind Bidding Report, which will be available tomorrow, will give you a better idea of who is in demand and what size bid will be required. For those not in a Blind Bidding League, the report will also help in prioritizing your bids.

When making your Free Agent choices, please use my Best Damn Player Rankings and TOP 250 as tools in making your decisions. Within the Player Rankings, realize that players are tiered; all players receiving the same Total Grade are comparable.

In the following chart, I have listed the players mentioned in Boxscore BOOMS! – Opportunity Knocks. I have included Food for Thought when considering your bids. If you are in a League which awards the first pick to the team with the worst record, then the Grades, along with your team needs, should be your primary guide. In a Blind Bidding League, the Blind Bidding Report will help in determining what size bid is needed and the Food for Thought, along with your team needs, will help in deciding if it is worth it.

TeamPositionNameGradeFood For Thought
DALRBFELIX JONESFelix JonesC+It's doubtful that Jones is available in many Leagues, but if so GO GET HIM!
TENQBJAKE LOCKERC-It looks like Locker will likely get the start in Week 15 vs IND. Hopefully if you are still playing, you have better options.
ARIQBJOHN SKELTONC-See above
HOUWRKEVIN WALTERKevin WalterDWalter's value is directly tied to the health of Andre Johnson. If Johnson is Out again, then Walter is playable vs CAR in Week 15. If you are hurting at WR, he is worth a stash-and-see.
GBWRDONALD DRIVERDonald DriverDDriver should be targeted in all Leagues in which he is available. Jennings is likely Out until the Playoffs, making old man Driver relevant again in the most explosive passing offense in the NFL.
MINWRDEVIN AROMASHODUDevin AromashoduD-Aromashodu is worth a look. He has received 25 targets in the last 2 games. Unfortunately, he has only managed to catch 10 of them for 137 yards. Still, 25 targets is impressive, and MIN enjoys a top 10 remaining schedule for WRs.
WASWRDONTE STALLWORTHD-Stallworth's 4-96 Week 14 was greatly aided by a 51-yard reception. WAS does have the 3rd easiest remaining schedule for WRs, but Donte is definitely a high risk play.
OAKWRLOUIS MURPHYFWith Moore and/or Ford likely to return in Week 15, Murphy has no value.
MIATEANTHONY FASANOFInconsistent and limited upside.
DENWRMATT WILLISFWillis got a few looks with Royal Out, but there's no way you can count on future production.
TBWRDEZMON BRISCOEFDon't bother
OAKTEKEVIN BOSSFAchieved 23% of his season catches and 50% of his TDs in Week 14. Don't bother
KCWRJERHEME URBANFDon't bother
JACWRJARETT DILLARDFDon't bother
JACWRKASSIM OSGOODFDon't bother
DENRBLANCE BALLFDon't bother
CHIRBKAHLIL BELLKahlil BellFBell is worth a look in PPR Leagues. He had 5 grabs in Week 14, and looks to be the best option as a dual-threat RB in place of Forte.
DETRBKEILAND WILLIAMSFWilliams piled up 60 yards from scrimmage in the absence of Kevin Smith and with Morris getting dinged up. If Smith is Out again (unlikely), then Williams has limited value.
KCRBJACKIE BATTLEFDon't bother
NORBCHRIS IVORYFLimited upside even if Ingram misses more time.
MINQBJOE WEBBFEven if he starts for Ponder, which MIN says won't happen, you should have better options at this point in the season.
MIAQBJP LOSMANFDon't bother
Others:
DENWRDEMARYIUS THOMASDemaryius ThomasI was dead wrong on Thomas last week, but many must have agreed with me, as he is still available in many Leagues. Thomas followed up his 4-144-2 performance in Week 13 with a 7-78-1 in Week 14. He looks to be Tebow's favorite option and Week 15 brings the best possible match-up vs NE.
GBWRJAMES JONESJames JonesJenning's injury makes all other GB WRs more valuable.
GBRBRYAN GRANTI can't imagine that Grant is available in many Leagues, but if so go get him.

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